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Home Energy Independence via Solar Power

Evaluating the Feasibility, Efficiency, and ROI of a Residential Solar Energy System

John Woodcock Jr., Christopher A. Murphy

Summer Term, 2024

Project Overview


This case study explored the energy economics and sustainability potential of a residential solar electrical system in Hawaii. The goal was to analyze the system’s ability to reduce dependence on the grid, calculate its ROI and determine how EV charging impacts overall performance.

Problem Statement


Hawaii has the highest energy and fuel costs in the United States. This study sought to determine whether a solar-equipped home with an EV could achieve energy independence and financial savings.

Methods


  • Normalized timestamps, calculated kWh, and aggregated to a daily series.

  • Compared solar capture vs. load (with/without EV), assess battery surplus/deficit and overnight availability.

  • Evaluated model grid vs. solar costs, EV vs. gasoline equivalents, and ROI.

Key Learnings


  • To remain off-grid overnight, the battery must retain at least 81% charge when solar production ends.

    • Batteries were full by ~4PM and depleted by ~8AM.

    • EV charging made this threshold hard to achieve; grid draw was required on most EV charge days.

  • EV solar charging saved an additional $69.87, reinforcing the value of switching from gasoline to solar-based transportation.

    • EVs significantly strain energy systems; timing, frequency, and duration of charging must be carefully optimized.

  • Even without full independence, net savings from solar + EV use are substantial and grow over time.

    • ROI is driven by cost avoidance, which is amplified in regions with high energy prices (like Hawaii).

Visualizations

Competencies Employed

Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA)

Discovering patterns and relationships in data using visual and statistical techniques.

Python Coding

Developing data pipelines, machine learning models, and automation tools using Python’s data science ecosystem (e.g., pandas, scikit-learn, TensorFlow)

Strategy & Decisions

Developing alternative strategies based on the data analysis.

Domain-Specific Analytics

Applying analytics to specific sectors such as marketing, finance, or operations.

Insights & Recommendations

Turn analysis into clear, prioritized stakeholder actions with rationale, trade-offs, and measurable outcomes.

Data Collection

Acquire, ingest, validate, and organize data using reproducible workflows and transformations to ensure compatibility with downstream data-science algorithms.

Time Series Analysis

Modeling temporal data for forecasting and trend analysis.

Descriptive Analytics

Summarizing and interpreting historical data to identify patterns, trends, and insights that inform decision-making and business understanding.

Data Visualization

Presenting data insights clearly using charts, dashboards, and visual storytelling.

Visual Analytics

Designing interactive tools that allow users to explore and analyze data visually.

Additional Technical Information

Data Source(s)


Data included solar power generated by the Tesla system, household and EV load drawn from the system, electricity rates from the Hawaiian Electric Company (HECO) and local automobile gas prices.

Results Summary


  • The system is generally sufficient without EV charging, but falls short when EV charging is included.

  • Without EV charging, the home was often fully solar-powered; with EV charging, the grid was frequently needed.



Recommended Actions


  1. Increase battery storage to support overnight energy needs with EV charging.

  2. Shift EV charging to early afternoon, when solar production peaks.

  3. Stagger or shorten charging sessions to better align with solar capacity.

  4. Expand PV panel coverage to boost total daily generation.

  5. Integrate smart home energy management systems to automate and optimize energy distribution.

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